AhlulBayt News Agency (ABNA): The puzzle of the war is becoming increasingly complex. Nearly all American assumptions about Iran have been shattered.
Iran's Military Strength: The volume of Iran's military firepower, even without a Supreme Commander, has been increasing daily.
Iranian Nation's Resilience: The resilience of the great Iranian nation has been astonishing. This national power has prevented streets from being taken over by enemy agents and has rendered the enemy's assumption of a quick national surrender meaningless.
Enemy Mistakes: The enemy's attacks on residential areas and schools have caused doubt among deceived domestic supporters of the enemy, rendering the notion of "help on the way" futile.
Iran's Seriousness in Attacking American Positions: Iran's seriousness in attacking American positions without considering any red lines has delivered another shock to the enemy front.
Specific Iranian Strikes: Iran's specific strikes, such as the destruction of the main American radar in the region, targeting two American combat support ships, forcing an aircraft carrier to flee the region, turning Dubai into a ghost town, significant strikes on American bases in Bahrain and Kuwait, designing and acting to narrow the Strait of Hormuz, shooting down three fighter jets and numerous drones, activating the air force in patrols and occasional attacks, etc., have changed initial calculations of Iran's power.
Resistance Front Enters the War: The resistance front has also entered the war. The Yemeni Ansar Allah has targeted the port of Eilat, Iraqi resistance has struck American bases, and Hezbollah has hit areas in northern occupied territories with its missiles.
In response, enemy forces have targeted not only missile, police, and intelligence infrastructure but also specific areas, especially in Tehran, and some residential areas.
The main advantage of both sides, like Iran, lies in offensive strikes, and they have not performed strongly in defensive positions.
It appears that the enemy's primary scenario was to weaken Iran to stimulate its agents for riots and terrorist actions, which has now faced a dead end. Although the enemy has not completely retreated from this idea, it will likely seek a new plan in the coming days due to complete despair.
Currently, the focus is on weakening security institutions to possibly introduce terrorist agents into the country through borders in the weakness of security forces. Conversely, Iran has significantly increased the recruitment and deployment of Basij forces to counter these actions, with many Basij supply forces stationed in various areas.
The War Escalates
The reality is that Trump has staked his political reputation on this war and certainly cannot digest the severe blows Iran has inflicted on America. Despite the numerous limitations Trump faces, he will attempt to reverse the current war balance in his favor in the coming days to pave the way for a ceasefire; otherwise, a major defeat for America will be recorded in this period.
However, Trump's efforts have limited time and must yield results in a short period.
The reason for Trump's limited opportunity is two crucial factors:
Iran's Increasing Military Firepower: Iran's military firepower is increasing daily, and if the balance does not change, naturally, nothing will remain of Israel and American regional bases.
American Casualties and Internal Opposition: The human and financial losses of American forces, Congress, and internal opponents have stimulated them. Political and social opposition to the war is rising from within America, and Trump is undoubtedly under serious pressure. This trend cannot continue indefinitely for Trump.
But Iran...
Iran believes with every cell that this war determines the fate of Islam and Iran. The country's decision-makers believe no red line currently makes sense. Iranian operations indicate that the primary goal is to destroy all American bases in the region in the first step and stabilize security in a way that prevents re-attack against Iran in the next step. In any case, Iran will try to expel the enemy from the region in the shortest possible time.
Iran's Trump Card is on the Way
The current balance of the war is under conditions where Iran is still operating without a Supreme Commander and leadership. With the election of new leadership, a new situation will emerge in the country and the region.
Who Will Win the War?
One determining factor is "resilience." Resilience in the face of damage, strikes, psychological pressure, and ultimately preserving the line of fire is important.
Iran has shown it is stronger in this position than the opponent. Both Iranian society has a more solid structure, and the military forces of the Islamic Republic of Iran, unlike the enemy's forces, are ideological and based on a school of thought. Ultimately, divine traditions will grant power to the right stream.
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